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Markets · Deals · Macro

Money 101 · Guide 4 of 9 · 7 min read

Time in the market: your biggest advantage

Educational content only. Money 101 is general education, not financial, tax, legal or investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Examples use made-up numbers. Rules, limits and rates change, so confirm current details with official sources and consider talking to a qualified professional about your own situation.

You are probably not going to out-trade Wall Street. But you have something Wall Street cannot buy: decades.

The short version
  • Cash loses buying power to inflation. Investing is how people try to stay ahead of it.
  • Compounding means your returns earn their own returns, and it needs time.
  • Starting earlier matters more than starting with a lot.

The snowball

Picture a snowball at the top of a hill. At first it is tiny. By the bottom it is huge, and most of that size came from the last stretch. Compounding works the same way: your investment earns returns, then those returns earn returns of their own. Most of the growth happens late, which is why time is the secret ingredient.

The cost of waiting

Illustration (made-up, not a prediction): Invest $200 a month at a hypothetical 7% a year until age 65.
Start at 20 (as a student): roughly $760,000.
Start at 30 (after waiting): roughly $360,000.
That ten-year delay costs more than half, even though the 30-year-old only skipped $24,000 of contributions.
Real returns will differ and are never guaranteed.

Why not just keep it in cash?

Prices rise over time, which is called inflation. At a hypothetical 3% a year, something that costs $100 today costs about $134 in ten years. Flip it around: $100 sitting in cash buys only about $74 worth of stuff in ten years, and about $41 worth in thirty. Cash is great for emergencies and near-term goals. For goals decades away, many people choose to invest so their money can grow faster than prices.

Try it yourself: plug your own numbers into the growth calculator and see how a small monthly amount can grow.

Time in the market, not timing the market

Nobody reliably knows when markets will rise or fall, not even professionals. The days with the biggest gains often come right next to the scariest days, and investors who jump out to "wait for safety" often miss them. The simple alternative is to invest on a regular schedule and leave it alone. Investing a fixed amount every month is called dollar-cost averaging.

The honest part

Markets do fall, sometimes hard. In 2008 U.S. stocks lost roughly half their value over about a year and a half, and it took years to recover. In early 2020 they fell about a third in a matter of weeks, then recovered within months. Past results do not guarantee the future, and there have been long stretches of poor returns. That is why this approach is for money you will not need for many years, and why an emergency fund comes first.

Optional reading: A Random Walk Down Wall Street by Burton G. Malkiel. A readable case for patient, diversified investing.
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Money 101 is general education and not personalized financial, tax, legal or investment advice. Affiliate disclosure.

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